Tennis · W50 Huamantla · 02/11, 18:30
Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Ashleigh Harvey
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar · Ashleigh Harvey
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Ashleigh Harvey
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Ashleigh Harvey
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1413 · Ashleigh Harvey 1475
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Ashleigh Harvey | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashleigh Harvey (rating 1413 vs 1475).
- Note: Natalia Sousa Salazar makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Ashleigh Harvey makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Ashleigh Harvey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.4-11.7 | 9.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.8% | 54% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Victoria Hu WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Emily Zornada W15 Trelew |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Carola Celina Sosa Others · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Candiotto W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Ana Candiotto W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Ashleigh Harvey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sarai Gabrielle Clarke W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/10 | Montserrat Marron Baruqui W50 Morelia |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Sophia Xie W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Emma Slavikova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maribel Aguilar Gasperin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Fernanda Torres Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alessandra Caceres W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Noemi Maines W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Ashleigh Harvey?
Our model gives 51% to Ashleigh Harvey, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.