Prediction: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Leolia Jeanjean · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leolia Jeanjean
1–0
Lucia Bronzetti
(1 last)
- 03 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leolia Jeanjean 1565 · Lucia Bronzetti 1445
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1565 vs 1445).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leolia Jeanjean 1–0 Lucia Bronzetti (1).
Statistics
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.1 | 10.7-12 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Leolia Jeanjean 1 – 0 Lucia Bronzetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leolia Jeanjean 1–0 Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/23 WTA Saint-Malo | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mona Barthel WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 61% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.