Tennis · WTA Cali · 03/11, 17:00

Prediction: Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Julia Riera

Team pages: Valentina Mediorreal Arias · Julia Riera

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Valentina Mediorreal Arias Julia Riera
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Mediorreal Arias 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLWLL
Julia Riera 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1456 · Julia Riera 1491
Valentina Mediorreal AriasJulia Riera
Our model45%55%
Market5%95%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Valentina Mediorreal AriasJulia Riera
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51-1.3
Games (G-P)7.1-11.19.6-11.4
Aces0.52.2
Double faults3.24.3
1st serve %46.2%61%
Break %40.8%51%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Campina Grande
0-2 1-12 L
22/10 Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W15 Campina Grande
2-1 18-14 W
20/10 Gabriela G Soares
W15 Campina Grande
2-0 12-2 W
14/10 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Maceio
0-2 4-12 L
09/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
04/09 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho
0-2 2-12 L
03/09 Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho
2-0 13-6 W
26/08 Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri
1-2 12-17 L
04/08 Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino
0-2 2-12 L

Julia Riera

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Julia Grabher
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/10 Solana Sierra
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
29/10 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
30/09 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Adana · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/09 Anna Siskova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
22/09 Elena Micic
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Mary Stoiana
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Julia Riera?

Our model gives 77% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.