Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Leyre Romero Gormaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
8-2 (W-L)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polona Hercog
0–1
Leyre Romero Gormaz
(1 last)
- 21 Sept1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1521 · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1562
| Polona Hercog | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1521 vs 1562).
- Head-to-head: Polona Hercog 0–1 Leyre Romero Gormaz (1).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.5 | 13-9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Polona Hercog 0 – 1 Leyre Romero Gormaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polona Hercog 0–1 Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/26 WTA Tolentino | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Naiktha Bains W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Ayana Akli W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Antonia Rivera WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Clara Burel WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Fiona Ferro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Alice Rame WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Jessica Pieri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 57% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.