Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 02/11, 14:00
Prediction: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Eero Vasa · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Eero Vasa
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Eero Vasa
7-3 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eero Vasa 1530 · Vadym Ursu 1469
| Eero Vasa | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eero Vasa (rating 1530 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Eero Vasa | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.8 | 10.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eero Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Matteo Gribaldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Michael Wright M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Kenzo Koistila Larsson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sizya Ernest Kivanda M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Radovan Michalik Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Adan Freire Da Silva Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 54% to Eero Vasa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.