Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 02/11, 12:30

Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger

Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Sebastian Sorger

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Sebastian Sorger 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1456 · Sebastian Sorger 1473
Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardSebastian Sorger
Our model48%52%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardSebastian Sorger
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.61.3-1.4
Games (G-P)11.9-1412.6-12.9
Aces173.2
Double faults3.52.6
1st serve %77.7%65.8%
Break %16.4%47.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
27/10 Arthur Fils
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/10 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
24/10 Sebastian Baez
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
17/10 Remy Bertola
ATP Brussels · Hard
1-2 18-20 L
13/10 Etienne Donnet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
31/08 Jurij Rodionov
US Open · Hard
0-3 12-20 L
23/08 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Trevor Svajda
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
04/08 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 11-15 L

Sebastian Sorger

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Matyas Cerny
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-1 12-10 W
24/10 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Vienna · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
21/10 Finn Murgett
M25 Redbridge
0-2 10-13 L
20/10 Rhys Lawlor
M25 Redbridge
2-1 19-16 W
23/09 Stepan Baum
M25 Pardubice
1-2 12-14 L
07/09 Martin Krumich
Challenger Tulln · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
03/09 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 9-18 L
01/09 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
29/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
1-2 12-16 L
28/08 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger?

Our model gives 64% to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.