Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Katrina Scott
Team pages: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez · Katrina Scott
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Prediction summary
Winner
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Katrina Scott
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
5-5 (W-L)
Katrina Scott
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1512 · Katrina Scott 1455
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Katrina Scott | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (rating 1512 vs 1455).
- Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Katrina Scott | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.7 | 8.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Simona Ogescu W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Mika Buchnik W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Katrina Scott
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lexington Reed W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Katrina Scott?
Our model gives 66% to Katrina Scott, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.