Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 02/11, 14:00
Prediction: Tomas Farjat vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Team pages: Tomas Farjat · Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Farjat
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Farjat
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Farjat 1492 · Federico Aguilar Cardozo 1563
| Tomas Farjat | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Aguilar Cardozo (rating 1492 vs 1563).
- Tomas Farjat dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 43% break avg.
- Federico Aguilar Cardozo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tomas Farjat | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.2 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 43% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Farjat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Valentin Basel Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Nicolas Alberto Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Luciano Doria UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Valentino Conte UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Nicolas Garcia Longo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Tim Handel M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 22/07 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Thiago Pernas Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Mikito Mitoma UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Farjat vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo?
Our model gives 55% to Federico Aguilar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.