Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 02/11, 10:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1512 · Yannik Kelm 1525
| Lucas Poullain | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.3 | 12.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Pierre Yves Bailly M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 58% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.