Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 07:00
Prediction: Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa
Team pages: Elena Pridankina · Paula Badosa
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Pridankina
Paula Badosa
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Pridankina
9-1 (W-L)
Paula Badosa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Pridankina 1499 · Paula Badosa 1531
| Elena Pridankina | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elena Pridankina makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Elena Pridankina | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.5 | 12.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Pridankina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 31/10 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Ayla Aksu WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Daria Egorova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 67% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.