Tennis · WTA Chennai · 03/11, 06:00
Prediction: Elsa Jacquemot vs Lilli Tagger
Team pages: Elsa Jacquemot · Lilli Tagger
Prediction summary
Winner
Elsa Jacquemot
Lilli Tagger
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elsa Jacquemot
4-6 (W-L)
Lilli Tagger
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elsa Jacquemot 1537 · Lilli Tagger 1561
| Elsa Jacquemot | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Elsa Jacquemot dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Elsa Jacquemot | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 12.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/10 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Caroline Werner WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Hannah Klugman W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Suzan Lamens W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Alicia Dudeney W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Viktoria Morvayova W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Sofya Lansere W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/10 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/10 | Han Shi WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/10 | Magda Linette WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Venus Williams WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elsa Jacquemot vs Lilli Tagger?
Our model gives 66% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.