Tennis · WTA Chennai · 03/11, 06:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Polina Kudermetova
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Polina Kudermetova
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Polina Kudermetova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Polina Kudermetova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1628 · Polina Kudermetova 1506
| Harriet Dart | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1628 vs 1506).
- Harriet Dart is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-11.1 | 10.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lilli Tagger WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Paula Badosa WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Talia Gibson WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Rina Saigo WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Janice Tjen WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Clara Tauson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Polina Kudermetova?
Our model gives 59% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.