Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 22:00
Prediction: Andres Martin vs Patrick Zahraj
Team pages: Andres Martin · Patrick Zahraj
Prediction summary
Winner
Andres Martin
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin
4-6 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1423 · Patrick Zahraj 1495
| Andres Martin | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Zahraj (rating 1423 vs 1495).
- Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Andres Martin | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.5 | 11.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Karl Poling Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 51% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.