Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia
Team pages: Giles Hussey · Samuel Heredia
Prediction summary
Winner
Giles Hussey
Samuel Heredia
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Giles Hussey
4-6 (W-L)
Samuel Heredia
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giles Hussey 1493 · Samuel Heredia 1426
| Giles Hussey | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giles Hussey (rating 1493 vs 1426).
- Giles Hussey is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Giles Hussey | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.9 | 10-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giles Hussey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M25 Norman |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Amar Tahirovic M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | William Manning Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | James Duckworth ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia?
Our model gives 66% to Giles Hussey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.