Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Juan Pablo Ficovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Ficovich
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1650 · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1457
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1650 vs 1457).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.7 | 8.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Dante Pagani M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?
Our model gives 72% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.