Tennis · Challenger Costa do Sauipe · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Hugo Dellien vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Hugo Dellien · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Dellien
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Dellien
9-1 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Dellien
1–0
Gonzalo Bueno
(1 last)
- 12 Mar2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Dellien 1611 · Gonzalo Bueno 1495
| Hugo Dellien | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1611 vs 1495).
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hugo Dellien 1–0 Gonzalo Bueno (1).
Statistics
| Hugo Dellien | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.9 | 9.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 67.8% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Hugo Dellien 1 – 0 Gonzalo Bueno (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Dellien 1–0 Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/24 Challenger Santiago | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Dellien vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 70% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.