Tennis · W75 Petange · 01/11, 15:30
Prediction: Gaia Maduzzi vs Hanna Bougouffa
Team pages: Gaia Maduzzi · Hanna Bougouffa
Prediction summary
Winner
Gaia Maduzzi
Hanna Bougouffa
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gaia Maduzzi
7-3 (W-L)
Hanna Bougouffa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gaia Maduzzi 1518 · Hanna Bougouffa 1464
| Gaia Maduzzi | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1518 vs 1464).
- Note: Gaia Maduzzi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Hanna Bougouffa makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Gaia Maduzzi | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.4 | 10.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gaia Maduzzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Zongyu Li WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Finja Matuella WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Lorena Schaedel W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Hanna Bougouffa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Sarah Iliev W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/10 | Laetitia Sarrazin W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sarah Iliev W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Liv Boulard W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Sarah Leroy W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Reims |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 28/09 | Olivia Gram W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Gyeong Seo Lee W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Lian Tran W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gaia Maduzzi vs Hanna Bougouffa?
Our model gives 70% to Gaia Maduzzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.