Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia
Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Stefano Travaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Stefano Travaglia
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Stefano Travaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov
1–2
Stefano Travaglia
(3 last)
- 30 Jul1-2 10-16L
- 03 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 20 May1-2 15-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1503 · Stefano Travaglia 1516
| Jurij Rodionov | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 8 aces and 42% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 1–2 Stefano Travaglia (3).
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Stefano Travaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.6 | 12.5-12.9 |
| Aces | 8 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 42% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Jurij Rodionov 1 – 2 Stefano Travaglia (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 1–2 Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/24 Challenger Luedenscheid | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/02/24 Challenger Koblenz | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05/19 French Open | 1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 19/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Gauthier Onclin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 16/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Valentin Royer Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia?
Our model gives 51% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.