Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Shintaro Mochizuki · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Mochizuki
3-7 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Mochizuki 1506 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1515
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Shintaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.4 | 12.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Federico Cina Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Taro Daniel ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Martin Damm ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Pavel Kotov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Federico Cina Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Ugo Blanchet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Mochizuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 59% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.