Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Vitaliy Sachko · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Vitaliy Sachko
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vitaliy Sachko
8-2 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vitaliy Sachko
2–1
Otto Virtanen
(3 last)
- 18 Oct2-0 12-8W
- 22 Jan2-1 15-10W
- 31 Mar0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitaliy Sachko 1528 · Otto Virtanen 1513
| Vitaliy Sachko | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Vitaliy Sachko 2–1 Otto Virtanen (3).
Statistics
| Vitaliy Sachko | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.7 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Vitaliy Sachko 2 – 1 Otto Virtanen (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitaliy Sachko 2–1 Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/26 ATP Lyon | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/01/25 Challenger Quimper | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 31/03/23 Challenger Lille | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Otto Virtanen ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 54% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.