Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Martin Damm · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1566 · Tom Gentzsch 1503
| Martin Damm | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Damm (rating 1566 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.4 | 13-12.9 |
| Aces | 13.5 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82.5% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 30/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Niels Visker Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 71% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.