Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko
Team pages: Luka Pavlovic · Alexander Shevchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Pavlovic
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Pavlovic
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Pavlovic 1487 · Alexander Shevchenko 1478
| Luka Pavlovic | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luka Pavlovic | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.5 | 12-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kangyuan Shi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Daniil Glinka ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Abhishek Bastola Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Dino Prizmic US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-26 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 54% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.