Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Tomas Lanik
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Tomas Lanik
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Tomas Lanik
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Lanik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1504 · Tomas Lanik 1503
| Lucas Poullain | Tomas Lanik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tomas Lanik dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 45.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Tomas Lanik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.9 | 10-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tomas Lanik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Paul Jubb M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniil Varaksa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Henry De Keulenaer M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | David Eichenseher M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 02/09 | Alex Huszar M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Tomas Lanik?
Our model gives 67% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.