Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Michael Vrbensky vs Marek Gengel

Team pages: Michael Vrbensky · Marek Gengel

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Michael Vrbensky Marek Gengel
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Vrbensky 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWL
Marek Gengel 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLWL
Head-to-head
Michael Vrbensky 3–0 Marek Gengel (3 last)
  • 09 Nov2-0 12-6W
  • 16 Nov2-0 12-4W
  • 01 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michael Vrbensky 1458 · Marek Gengel 1477
Michael VrbenskyMarek Gengel
Our model47%53%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Michael Vrbensky 3–0 Marek Gengel (3).
  • Note: Michael Vrbensky makes many double faults (4.3/match).
  • Note: Marek Gengel makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Michael VrbenskyMarek Gengel
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 30% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51-1.4
Games (G-P)12-12.910.5-12.3
Aces5.22.3
Double faults4.34
1st serve %68.8%70.6%
Break %52.3%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

H2H · Michael Vrbensky 3 – 0 Marek Gengel (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Vrbensky 3–0 Marek Gengel

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DateSetsGamesRes.
09/11/19
ITF M15 Prague
2-012-6W
16/11/18
ITF Czech Republic F10
2-012-4W
01/11/17
ITF Czech Republic F8
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michael Vrbensky

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Maia · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
13/10 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Patrick Schoen
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/09 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
28/07 Nikoloz Basilashvili
Challenger San Marino · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
27/07 Maxime Janvier
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
20/07 Patrik Niklas-Salminen
Challenger Tampere · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
28/06 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
15/06 Milos Karol
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Marek Gengel

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/10 Arda Azkara
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/10 Tudor Batin
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Tomas Lanik
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-16 W
21/10 Dominik Guzmicky
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
16/09 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/09 Christian Langmo
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/09 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
01/06 Milos Karol
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
31/05 Dusan Obradovic
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michael Vrbensky vs Marek Gengel?

Our model gives 53% to Marek Gengel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.