Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Cerny
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1494 · Sebastian Sorger 1467
| Matyas Cerny | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.7 | 12.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 30% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | David Petrofsky M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 61% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.