Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWWL
Yanis Ghazouani Durand 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1430 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1501
Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardYanis Ghazouani Durand
Our model40%60%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1430 vs 1501).
  • Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardYanis Ghazouani Durand
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 22% (9) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.91.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.5-15.710.8-10.9
Aces18.23
Double faults3.84
1st serve %76.5%66.3%
Break %16.4%34.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Arthur Fils
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/10 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
24/10 Sebastian Baez
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
17/10 Remy Bertola
ATP Brussels · Hard
1-2 18-20 L
13/10 Etienne Donnet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
31/08 Jurij Rodionov
US Open · Hard
0-3 12-20 L
23/08 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Trevor Svajda
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
04/08 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
30/06 Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-25 L

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Daniel Masur
M25 Sarreguemines
0-2 6-12 L
20/10 Gijs Brouwer
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 12-5 W
11/10 Tom Paris
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
29/09 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/09 Leonardo Rossi
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/09 Emile Hudd
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
20/09 Karl Poling
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
17/09 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
15/09 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Nikola Slavic
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Our model gives 66% to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.