Prediction: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame
Team pages: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Moise Kouame
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Moise Kouame
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
6-4 (W-L)
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1631 · Moise Kouame 1539
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (rating 1631 vs 1539).
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.8 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 17/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/10 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Moise Kouame
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Martin Damm Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.