Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Rei Sakamoto
Team pages: James McCabe · Rei Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
3-7 (W-L)
Rei Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1403 · Rei Sakamoto 1587
| James McCabe | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1403 vs 1587).
- Rei Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| James McCabe | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-14.8 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 28.9% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Federico Cina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Amir Omarkhanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/10 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Rei Sakamoto?
Our model gives 80% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.