Tennis · ATP Paris MD · 04/11, 11:00
Prediction: Miedler/Oberleitner vs Melo/Zverev
Team pages: Miedler/Oberleitner · Melo/Zverev
Prediction summary
Winner
Miedler/Oberleitner
Melo/Zverev
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miedler/Oberleitner
8-2 (W-L)
Melo/Zverev
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miedler/Oberleitner 1637 · Melo/Zverev 1439
| Miedler/Oberleitner | Melo/Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedler/Oberleitner (rating 1637 vs 1439).
- Miedler/Oberleitner is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Miedler/Oberleitner | Melo/Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-12.5 | 10.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 84.1% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 19.3% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miedler/Oberleitner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 29/10 | Nouza/Venus ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Bhambri/Seggerman ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-23 | L |
| 24/10 | Balaji/King ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Cukierman/Romboli ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Omarkhanov/Zhukayev ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Polmans/Zielinski ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Melo/Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Arends/Johnson ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Navone/Tabilo ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Cobolli/Shelton ATP Halle MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Bergs/Bublik ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miedler/Oberleitner vs Melo/Zverev?
Our model gives 73% to Miedler/Oberleitner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.