Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Aleksandar Vukic
Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Aleksandar Vukic
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Aleksandar Vukic
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
4-6 (W-L)
Aleksandar Vukic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1516 · Aleksandar Vukic 1474
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yu Hsiou Hsu (rating 1516 vs 1474).
- Aleksandar Vukic dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 45.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Aleksandar Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.9 | 12.4-13 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 30/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Billy Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Tomas Machac Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Jie Cui ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Our model gives 58% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.