Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa
Team pages: Kaitlin Quevedo · Paula Badosa
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaitlin Quevedo
Paula Badosa
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kaitlin Quevedo
7-3 (W-L)
Paula Badosa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaitlin Quevedo 1569 · Paula Badosa 1531
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.5 | 12.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 56% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.