Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Xinran Sun vs Tereza Valentova
Team pages: Xinran Sun · Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinran Sun
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xinran Sun
7-3 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinran Sun 1540 · Tereza Valentova 1543
| Xinran Sun | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xinran Sun | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.5 | 11.1-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/10 | Claire Liu WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | En Shuo Liang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinran Sun vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 62% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.