Tennis · WTA Hong Kong · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Sofia Kenin
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Sofia Kenin
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leylah Annie Fernandez
0–2
Sofia Kenin
(2 last)
- 21 Sept1-2 12-18L
- 03 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1617 · Sofia Kenin 1411
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1617 vs 1411).
- Leylah Annie Fernandez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leylah Annie Fernandez 0–2 Sofia Kenin (2).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10 | 10-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Leylah Annie Fernandez 0 – 2 Sofia Kenin (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leylah Annie Fernandez 0–2 Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/23 WTA Guadalajara | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09/20 US Open Women | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Elena Rybakina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sofia Kenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Kayla Day WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin?
Our model gives 74% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.