Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 10:30
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1472 · Kaichi Uchida 1450
| Alafia Ayeni | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.8 | 9.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 37% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Uisung Park Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Li Tu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Adrien Burdet Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 55% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.