Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 09:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Chun-Chien Hou
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Chun-Chien Hou
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Chun-Chien Hou
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
7-3 (W-L)
Chun-Chien Hou
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1586 · Chun-Chien Hou 1507
| Alibek Kachmazov | Chun-Chien Hou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1586 vs 1507).
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Chun-Chien Hou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-12.2 | 10.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Woobin Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Chun-Chien Hou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Kanta Watanabe M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ye Hongyu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Chun-Chien Hou?
Our model gives 77% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.