Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 04:30
Prediction: Akira Santillan vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Akira Santillan · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Akira Santillan
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Akira Santillan
5-5 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Akira Santillan
1–2
Evan Zhu
(3 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 13-5W
- 17 Jun1-2 11-18L
- 23 Mar0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akira Santillan 1505 · Evan Zhu 1480
| Akira Santillan | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Akira Santillan dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Akira Santillan 1–2 Evan Zhu (3).
Statistics
| Akira Santillan | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.3 | 11.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Akira Santillan 1 – 2 Evan Zhu (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Akira Santillan 1–2 Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 M25 Maanshan | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 17/06/25 M25 Luzhou | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/03/22 ITF M25 Medellin | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaigaoge Kang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Yeonsu Jeong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akira Santillan vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 54% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.