Tennis · WTA Chennai · 03/11, 06:00
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Rebecca Sramkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Rebecca Sramkova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
3-7 (W-L)
Rebecca Sramkova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moyuka Uchijima
1–0
Rebecca Sramkova
(1 last)
- 06 Feb2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1452 · Rebecca Sramkova 1551
| Moyuka Uchijima | Rebecca Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Sramkova (rating 1452 vs 1551).
- Rebecca Sramkova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Moyuka Uchijima 1–0 Rebecca Sramkova (1).
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Rebecca Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.4 | 11.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Moyuka Uchijima 1 – 0 Rebecca Sramkova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moyuka Uchijima 1–0 Rebecca Sramkova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Mary Stoiana WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Ena Shibahara WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Yeon Woo Ku Asian Games |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Polona Hercog US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Rebecca Sramkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Hannah Klugman W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Noemi Basiletti W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Mona Barthel W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Claire Liu WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova?
Our model gives 64% to Rebecca Sramkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.