Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls MD · 31/10, 18:00
Prediction: Jans/Vliegen vs Reyes-Varela/Stalder
Team pages: Jans/Vliegen · Reyes-Varela/Stalder
Prediction summary
Winner
Jans/Vliegen
Reyes-Varela/Stalder
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jans/Vliegen
8-2 (W-L)
Reyes-Varela/Stalder
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jans/Vliegen 1625 · Reyes-Varela/Stalder 1529
| Jans/Vliegen | Reyes-Varela/Stalder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jans/Vliegen (rating 1625 vs 1529).
- Jans/Vliegen is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jans/Vliegen | Reyes-Varela/Stalder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.8 | 12.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 84.4% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jans/Vliegen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Hands/Summers Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Milavsky/Shick Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Exsted/Woestendick Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Cukierman/Romboli Challenger Olbia MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Olbia MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Poljak/Visker Challenger Olbia MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger Olbia MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Cukierman/Romboli Challenger Villena MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Jebens/Vrbensky Challenger Villena MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Barton/Duda Challenger Villena MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-20 | W |
Reyes-Varela/Stalder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Galarneau/Verdugo Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Martinez/Nedunchezhiyan Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Brostrom Poulsen/Slavic Challenger Sioux Falls MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Lyon MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Heinonen/Vrbensky Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Jingshan MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Jingshan MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 30/09 | Imamura/Tajima Challenger Jingshan MD · Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Arends/Pel ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Bayldon/Kadhe Challenger Guangzhou MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jans/Vliegen vs Reyes-Varela/Stalder?
Our model gives 61% to Jans/Vliegen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.