Prediction: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx
Team pages: Daniel Merida Aguilar · Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Merida Aguilar
3-7 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1504 · Alexander Blockx 1517
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.2 | 16.5-13.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.7
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 32% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Tabilo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 30/08 | Marton Fucsovics US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 05/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 55% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.