Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo
Team pages: Arthur Rinderknech · Francisco Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Francisco Cerundolo
Estimated games
26.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
3-7 (W-L)
Francisco Cerundolo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Rinderknech
2–0
Francisco Cerundolo
(2 last)
- 29 Dec2-0 12-6W
- 15 Mar2-1 13-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1467 · Francisco Cerundolo 1480
| Arthur Rinderknech | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Rinderknech 2–0 Francisco Cerundolo (2).
- Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Francisco Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16-15.8 | 12.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 14.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.7
Over 22.5: 74% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 26% · 1.80
H2H · Arthur Rinderknech 2 – 0 Francisco Cerundolo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Rinderknech 2–0 Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/22 United Cup | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/03/22 Challenger Phoenix | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Liam Draxl Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Sho Shimabukuro US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Francisco Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Martin Damm ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Casper Ruud Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model gives 61% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.