Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien
Team pages: Stefanos Tsitsipas · Learner Tien
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Learner Tien
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Tsitsipas
6-4 (W-L)
Learner Tien
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefanos Tsitsipas
0–1
Learner Tien
(1 last)
- 20 May0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1572 · Learner Tien 1508
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Tsitsipas (rating 1572 vs 1508).
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–1 Learner Tien (1).
Statistics
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.5 | 12.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 29% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Stefanos Tsitsipas 0 – 1 Learner Tien (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–1 Learner Tien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 ATP Geneva | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/10 | James Duckworth ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Learner Tien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Luca Van Assche ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Zverev Laver Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Flavio Cobolli Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien?
Our model gives 51% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.