Tennis · WTA Chennai · 31/10, 10:30
Prediction: Mariia Tkacheva vs Rada Zolotareva
Team pages: Mariia Tkacheva · Rada Zolotareva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Tkacheva
Rada Zolotareva
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Tkacheva
4-6 (W-L)
Rada Zolotareva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Tkacheva 1430 · Rada Zolotareva 1541
| Mariia Tkacheva | Rada Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rada Zolotareva (rating 1430 vs 1541).
- Rada Zolotareva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mariia Tkacheva | Rada Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.5 | 12.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Tkacheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jenny Lim W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/02 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Shilin Xu WTA Midland · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/01 | Donna Vekic WTA Manila · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Sara Saito WTA Manila · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Sohyun Park ITF W35 New Delhi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Rada Zolotareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Xinxin Yao W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Junlu Sun W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Ipek Oz WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Tkacheva vs Rada Zolotareva?
Our model gives 58% to Rada Zolotareva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.