Tennis · M25 Norman · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Bruno Kuzuhara

Team pages: Lui Maxted · Bruno Kuzuhara

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Lui Maxted Bruno Kuzuhara
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLWW
Bruno Kuzuhara 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1558 · Bruno Kuzuhara 1502
Lui MaxtedBruno Kuzuhara
Our model58%42%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1558 vs 1502).

Statistics

Lui MaxtedBruno Kuzuhara
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.2-0.9
Games (G-P)13.3-10.410.2-8.8
Aces2.81.7
Double faults32.8
1st serve %72.7%68.9%
Break %46.2%31.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lui Maxted

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Ilya Snitari
M25 Norman
2-1 17-15 W
27/10 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Norman
2-0 12-8 W
21/10 Sander Jong
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
17/10 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M25 Austin
1-2 13-18 L
16/10 Andrew Fenty
M25 Austin
2-1 14-10 W
15/10 Roger Pascual Ferra
M25 Austin
2-0 12-1 W
14/10 Aidan Kim
M25 Austin
2-0 12-5 W
27/09 Francisco Rocha
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
25/09 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal
1-2 14-16 L
24/09 Tyler Stice
M25 Setubal
2-0 13-8 W

Bruno Kuzuhara

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Tito Chavez
M25 Norman
2-1 18-7 W
27/10 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M25 Norman
2-0 12-5 W
27/09 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
23/08 Kody Pearson
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/08 Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 3-10 L
31/07 Jack Anthrop
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 12-8 W
30/07 Noah Zamora
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-10 W
30/07 Jerry Roddick
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Bruno Kuzuhara?

Our model gives 66% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.