Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
0–1
Arthur Fils
(1 last)
- 26 Sept1-2 13-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1549 · Arthur Fils 1567
| Taylor Fritz | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 0–1 Arthur Fils (1).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 13.7-11.4 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 25.5 · -2
Over 25.5: 37% · 1.72
Under 25.5: 63% · 2.00
H2H · Taylor Fritz 0 – 1 Arthur Fils (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 0–1 Arthur Fils
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/24 ATP Tokyo | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/10 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 53% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.