Prediction: Dmitry Popko vs James Mackinlay
Team pages: Dmitry Popko
Prediction summary
Winner
Dmitry Popko
James Mackinlay
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dmitry Popko
8-2 (W-L)
James Mackinlay
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dmitry Popko 1581 · James Mackinlay 1550
| Dmitry Popko | James Mackinlay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dmitry Popko | James Mackinlay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.9 | 11.3-10 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Philip Henning M25 Malta |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
James Mackinlay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alberto Bronzetti M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Tadija Radovanovic M25 Malta |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Ben Hudson UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 16/05 | Tyler Stice UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Samuel Zlotnik UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Cameron Fryer UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Robert Cowley UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/05 | Dylan Leeman UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Popko vs James Mackinlay?
Our model gives 75% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.