Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 30/10, 12:30
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Margaux Maquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Margaux Maquet
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
5-5 (W-L)
Margaux Maquet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1558 · Margaux Maquet 1541
| Francesca Curmi | Margaux Maquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Margaux Maquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10 | 11.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Astrid Cirotte W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Eva Vedder WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Margaux Maquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Matilde Jorge W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/10 | Diana Marcinkevica W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayuka Aikawa W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Emma Lene W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Amy Sucha W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Merel Hoedt W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Stefania Bojica W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Margaux Maquet?
Our model gives 67% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.