Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 29/10, 19:30
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Renata Zarazua · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
6-4 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1519 · Xinyu Gao 1466
| Renata Zarazua | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renata Zarazua (rating 1519 vs 1466).
- Renata Zarazua is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.6 | 8.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 53.7% |
| Break % | 53% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Lexington Reed W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Thea Frodin W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Sofia Johnson W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Han Shi WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Thea Frodin W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Panna Udvardy WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Micic W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 61% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.