Prediction: Philip Henning vs Dmitry Popko
Team pages: Philip Henning · Dmitry Popko
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Dmitry Popko
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
8-2 (W-L)
Dmitry Popko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1521 · Dmitry Popko 1570
| Philip Henning | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1521 vs 1570).
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.8 | 11.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 47% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Xavi Matas Ortega M25 Malta |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Louis Wessels M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Robin Catry M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Borna Gojo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Dmitry Popko?
Our model gives 55% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.