Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 29/10, 10:00
Prediction: Marine Szostak vs Clara Burel
Team pages: Marine Szostak · Clara Burel
Prediction summary
Winner
Marine Szostak
Clara Burel
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marine Szostak
6-4 (W-L)
Clara Burel
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marine Szostak 1560 · Clara Burel 1661
| Marine Szostak | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1560 vs 1661).
- Clara Burel is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marine Szostak | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.3 | 12.5-5.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 64.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marine Szostak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Diana Marcinkevica W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Francoise Abanda W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Delia Gaillard W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Diana Martynov W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Delia Gaillard W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Jana Otzipka W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Margaux Komano W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Leila Fabbri W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Milena Ciocan W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Clara Burel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Marie Mattel W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Mathilde Lollia WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marine Szostak vs Clara Burel?
Our model gives 79% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.