Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 29/10, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Clara Vlasselaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Clara Vlasselaer
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
6-4 (W-L)
Clara Vlasselaer
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
1–0
Clara Vlasselaer
(1 last)
- 22 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1551 · Clara Vlasselaer 1515
| Francesca Curmi | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 1–0 Clara Vlasselaer (1).
- Note: Clara Vlasselaer makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.3 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 63.5% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Francesca Curmi 1 – 0 Clara Vlasselaer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 1–0 Clara Vlasselaer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/21 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Astrid Cirotte W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Eva Vedder WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Clara Vlasselaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/10 | Vicky Van De Peer W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Liv Boulard W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Hanna Bougouffa W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Andre Lukosiute W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 06/10 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Reims |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anastasiia Firman W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Diana Martynov W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Clara Vlasselaer?
Our model gives 69% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.